In the "Global EV Outlook 2024" report, the IEA estimates that the number of electric vehicles, including transportation, will increase from less than 45 million in 2023, to 250 million in 2030 and reach 525 million in 2035.
As a result, more than one in four vehicles on the road will be electric by 2035. On average, the stock of electric vehicles grows by 23% per year from 2023 to 2035.
About 40 million electric vehicles were registered worldwide in 2023, with about 60% of new registrations in China, compared to about 25% in Europe and 10% in the United States. They accounted for about 95% of global electric vehicle sales.
It is useful to look at the rate of electric vehicle fires in China, where these cars are the most prevalent in the world. This country can be considered a case study reflecting similar situations in the rest of the world.
If we consider the expected 525 million electric vehicles
by AlE in 2035, we can imagine how many electric vehicle fires could occur.
Therefore, reducing electric vehicle fires is a very important factor in reducing greenhouse gases, but also in increasing public safety.
JoongAng Ilbo cited China's CCTV to report that in 2023, there were
0.95 fires per 10,000 vehicles in China. He also said that 25 million electric vehicles were registered by 2023 and that there were about 2,400 fires last year.
To put that into perspective, 2,400 fires per year is about seven electric car fires per day. This data excludes hybrid cars, scooters, or electric bicycles.
Other news outlets have reported higher numbers of fires. MGUY Australia said there were 1.43 electric vehicle fires per 10,000 vehicles, while E-Vehicle Info cited data from the Chinese Ministry of Emergency Situations' Fire and Rescue Department on April 3, which said 3,640 electric vehicles caught fire in the first quarter of this year, a 32% increase from the previous quarter.
If there are so many electric vehicle fires, people will be reluctant to buy electric vehicles, and in this case, it could raise questions about the possibility of electric vehicles achieving the greenhouse gas reduction goal set by the government.
Robin Zeng, president of CATL, the world's largest battery company, said at the World Electric Battery Conference held on September 1 in Yibin, southwest China's Sichuan Province, that improving the safety of electric vehicle batteries is essential for solving climate problems.
It states: "To improve the safety of electric vehicles, the key factors are the battery and standards. Currently, the vast majority of batteries on the market are far from safe. Most companies claim that they have a failure rate of 1 in a million, but the truth is that the failure occurs 1 in a thousand."
"This is why I argue that there must be an absolute safety standard," Robin Zeng added.
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